Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Rennes

Barcola (30', 68'), Kang-in (58')
Zaire-Emery (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kalimuendo (75' pen.)
Santamaria (31'), Assignon (42'), Wooh (65'), Stephan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-1 PSG
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Rennes
62.1% ( 1.79)	20.29% ( -0.58)	17.61% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.64% (

0.66)

39.35% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.31% (

0.68)

61.69% (

-0.69)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.71)

12.16% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.21% (

1.48)

37.79% (

-1.48)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

-0.93)

35.74% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

-0.97)

72.51% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.1%

Rennes 17.61%

Draw 20.29%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.1%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.61%