/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Sontje Hansen
13'
-
Kodai Sano
90'+3'
-
Wout Weghorst
15'
-
Devyne Rensch
31'
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Wout Weghorst
48'
-
Wout Weghorst
51'
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Anton Gaaei
69'
-
Jorrel Hato
74'
-
Ahmetcan Kaplan
90'
NEC vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Fivan-marquez.png)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
Result
NEC
32.07%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
22.67%
▼
(-0.11)
Ajax
45.25%
▲
(+0.58)
Both Teams to Score:
65.08%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.41%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
35.58%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
42.36%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 3.5
57.64%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 4.5
24.06%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
75.93%
▼
(-0.32)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
77.72%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
22.28%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
44.27%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
55.73%
▲
(+0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
83.73%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 0.5
16.26%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 1.5
54.2%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 1.5
45.8%
▼
(-0.64)
Score analysis
NEC
32.07%
Draw
22.67%
Ajax
45.25%
NEC
2-1
@
7.42%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.07%
1-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.07%
Draw
1-1
@
9.88%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.67%
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.67%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.97%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 45.25%
0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 45.25%