Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.