Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 3
Nijmegen

Weidmann (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ogawa (68'), Ouaissa (74'), Marquez (90')
van Crooij (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Almere City
Sunday, November 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 6-0 Groningen
Sunday, November 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	NEC
30.93% ( 0.02)	24.71% ( 0.04)	44.36% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.15% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24% (

-0.2)

45.76% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92% (

-0.19)

68.07% (

0.19)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-0.09)

27.93% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44% (

-0.11)

63.56% (

0.11)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.11)

20.7% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

-0.18)

53.31% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 30.93%

NEC 44.36%

Draw 24.7%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.93%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.36%