Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 26, 2024 at 7pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Leemans (13', 37'), Sauer (60' pen.), Greiml (90')
Van den Bergh (29'), Greiml (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jensen (45+2' og.)
Roemeratoe (11'), Castillo (50'), Al Mazyani (58')
Al Mazyani (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, October 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 FC Twente
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
51.62% ( -0.4)	22.95% ( 0.16)	25.43% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

-0.5)

41.47% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

-0.5)

63.87% (

0.5)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

-0.32)

16.16% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

-0.59)

45.61% (

0.59)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.07)

29.66% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

-0.09)

65.71% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 51.62%

RKC Waalwijk 25.43%

Draw 22.95%

NAC Breda	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.47% Total : 51.62%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.43%