Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Brobbey (27'), Sutalo (63')
Hato (43'), Henderson (45'), Wijndal (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbayo (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-1 Sittard
Saturday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 3.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 4-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
88.85% ( -0.71)	7.81% ( 0.43)	3.34% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 43.79% (

0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.72% (

-0.58)

23.29% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.36% (

-0.78)

42.65% (

0.79)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.78% (

-0.18)

3.23% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.7% (

-0.64)

14.3% (

0.64)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.24% (

1.01)

54.76% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.26% (

0.59)

87.74% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Ajax 88.84%

PEC Zwolle 3.34%

Draw 7.81%

Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
3-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.11) 7-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.44% Total : 88.84%	1-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 7.81%	1-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.18% Total : 3.34%