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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 27.36% ( | 23.91% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( | 44.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( | 66.59% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( | 65.67% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( | 18.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( | 49.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-0 @ 4% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.73% |