Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.