Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Rosier (10', 73'), Peterson (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Heerenveen
40.53% ( -0.43)	23.53% ( 0.06)	35.94% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 63.12% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.33% (

-0.23)

38.66% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.03% (

-0.25)

60.97% (

0.24)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.29)

19.45% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.48)

51.29% (

0.48)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.09)

21.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

0.13)

54.77% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 40.53%

Heerenveen 35.94%

Draw 23.52%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.94%