Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 1, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 0
Heracles

Lahdo (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Scheperman (75'), Hornkamp (79'), Bruns (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.57%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
78.64% ( 0.18)	13.66% ( -0.1)	7.7% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.47% (

0.2)

33.53% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.66% (

0.23)

55.33% (

-0.23)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.21% (

0.08)

6.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.94% (

0.21)

25.06% (

-0.21)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.99% (

-0.06)

48.01% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.76% (

-0.04)

83.24% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 78.63%

Heracles 7.7%

Draw 13.66%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 78.63%	1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 13.66%	0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.7%