Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.