Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
2 - 0
NAC Breda

De Keersmaecker (39' pen., 63')
Roosken (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Greiml (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 5-0 Heracles
Sunday, October 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	NAC Breda
39.7% ( 0.02)	24.21% ( -0)	36.08% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58% (

0.01)

41.99% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6% (

0.01)

64.4% (

-0.02)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

0.01)

21.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

0.02)

54.17% (

-0.03)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0)

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

-0.01)

56.93% (

Score Analysis

Heracles 39.7%

NAC Breda 36.08%

Draw 24.2%

Heracles	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.7%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.08%