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[monks data]
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
3 - 2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')

Preview: Heracles vs. AZ Alkmaar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still without a league victory in the 2021-22 Eredivisie season, Heracles play host to fellow strugglers AZ Alkmaar at the Erve Asito on Sunday.

Both sides head into the game off the back of respective defeats in their last outings and will be looking to give an immediate response.


Match preview

AZ Alkmaar's Zakaria Aboukhlal with teammate after the match in November 2020© Reuters

In search of a first home league win of the season, AZ Alkmaar were thrashed 3-0 by PSV Eindhoven on Saturday when the teams faced off.

Goals from Olivier Boscagli and second-half substitutes Yorbe Vertessen and Ritsu Doan put Pascal Jansen's men to the sword at the AFAS Stadion.

With three points from as many games this term, the Cheeseheads are currently hovering above the relegation zone only on goal difference.

Next up for them is a trip to an opposing side who they have beaten in all but two of the last 17 meetings between the teams dating back to 2008.

Sunday's visitors, who played out a 2-2 draw against Danish side Randers in their Conference League curtain-raiser on Thursday, now seek to kickstart their domestic campaign.

Heracles were not in action during the last gameweek as their clash with Feyenoord, which was initially scheduled to be played on Sunday, later got called off.

Frank Wormuth's men remain bottom but one on the standings but just like AZ, they also now have a game in hand on majority of the teams in and around them.

Saturday's hosts, who suffered defeats to PSV and newly-promoted NEC in their previous two outings on home turf, are set for another baptism of fire this weekend.

The Almelo-based outfit did not find the back of the net in any of the aforementioned games and getting on the scoresheet this time around would be a step in the right direction.

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • L

Heracles form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W
  • L

AZ Alkmaar form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Newly-signed forward Kaj Sierhuis is unavailable for the game due to a groin injury which he picked up while in action for former club Reims.

Sinan Bakis was given his marching orders in Heracles' last domestic outing, and the 27-year-old is suspended for this weekend's contest.

AZ's Vangelis Pavlidis has been directly involved in three goals in his last three matches away from home, making him one to keep an eye on.

Owen Wijndal has made a full recovery from a groin problem and is expected to keep his place in the side after featuring in each of the visitors' last two games.

Due to his side's involvement in midweek, Pascal Jansen might be tempted to rest a couple of his first-team regulars in a bid to field a well-rested XI.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Roosken, Knoester, Schoofs, Fadiga; De La Torre, Kiomourtzoglou, Vloet; Laursen, Burgzorg, Basacikoglu

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Jensen; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Chatzidiakos, Sugawara; Midtsjo, Clasie, De Wit; Aboukhlal, Pavlidis, Gudmundsson


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

Both sides have made a far from ideal start to the new season, but there is still enough time for the two clubs to put things right. AZ are favourites for this one due to the gulf in squad quality, and we are backing them to claim all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
18.8%
Draw
12.5%
AZ Alkmaar
68.8%
16
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV26233081136872
2Feyenoord26195266214562
3FC Twente26165549252453
4AZ AlkmaarAZ26147553233049
5Ajax26118757471041
6NECNijmegen26109750401039
7Go Ahead Eagles2610793835337
8FC UtrechtUtrecht269983133-236
9Fortuna SittardSittard2697103344-1134
10Sparta RotterdamSparta2687113338-531
11Heerenveen2694134249-731
12Almere CityAlmere City2679102643-1730
13PEC Zwolle2677123447-1328
14Heracles2675143358-2526
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior26410123957-1822
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2664162443-1922
17Vitesse2645172153-3217
18FC VolendamVolendam2635182667-4114

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