/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
-
Paxten Aaronson
67'
-
Ivan Mesik
90'
FC Utrecht vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Fron-jans.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result
FC Utrecht
72.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
16.45%
▲
(+0.03)
Heracles
10.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
52.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
36.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
41.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
58.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
23.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
76.5%
▲
(+0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
91.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
8.69%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
70.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
29.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
56.98%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
43.02%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
20.69%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
79.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
FC Utrecht
72.55%
Draw
16.45%
Heracles
10.99%
FC Utrecht
2-0
@
11.15%
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 72.55%
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 72.55%
Draw
1-1
@
7.7%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 16.45%
2-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 16.45%
Heracles
1-2
@
3.25%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.99%
0-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.99%