Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Dec 4, 2024 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
2 - 2
Utrecht

Gaaei (25'), Toornstra (29' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Min (16'), Pasveer (79' og.)
Jans (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, December 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 2-5 PSV
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Utrecht
60.58% ( 0.08)	21.94% ( -0.01)	17.48% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04% (

-0.07)

46.96% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.06)

69.21% (

0.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

0.01)

15.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45% (

0.01)

43.55% (

-0)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.56% (

-0.12)

40.44% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.95% (

-0.11)

77.05% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Ajax 60.57%

FC Utrecht 17.48%

Draw 21.94%

Ajax	Draw	FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.94%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.48%