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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PSV

Utrecht
2 - 5
PSV

Descotte (34' pen.), Horemans (88')
Aaronson (14'), Rodriguez (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saibari (12', 70'), Til (54', 90+1'), Bakayoko (74')
Saibari (7'), Til (31'), Flamingo (57'), Boscagli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Shakhtar
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
26.69% (-1.614 -1.61)21.55% (-0.491 -0.49)51.76% (2.102 2.1)
Both teams to score 65.37% (0.39 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (1.104 1.1)33.6% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.58% (1.249 1.25)55.41% (-1.25 -1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.483 -0.48)24.58% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.681 -0.68)59.07% (0.68 0.68)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (1.064 1.06)13.32% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (2.107 2.11)40.16% (-2.108 -2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 26.69%
    PSV Eindhoven 51.76%
    Draw 21.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.69%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.137 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.259 0.26)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 3.16% (0.256 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.04% (0.057 0.06)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PSV

FC Utrecht
6.7%
Draw
26.7%
PSV Eindhoven
66.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Utrecht
1-1
PSV
Boussaid (53')
Toornstra (27'), Fraulo (89')
Bakayoko (7')
de Jong (54')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
PSV
2-0
Utrecht
Lang (45+3'), Vertessen (77')
Ramalho (48'), Teze (55')

van der Hoorn (47')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
2-2
PSV
Boussaid (33'), Van de Streek (60')
Bakayoko (41'), De Jong (57')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
6-1
Utrecht
Simons (8', 60'), Til (33', 38'), El Ghazi (86', 89')
Van de Streek (24')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-1
PSV

Warmerdam (20'), Maher (88')
Zahavi (53')
Teze (86'), Junior (90+1'), Vinicius (90+1')
> Preview