Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 5, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 0
Girona

Flamingo (16'), Tillman (33'), Bakayoko (83'), Krejci (88' og.)
de Jong (40'), Karsdorp (58'), Dams (60'), Bakayoko (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martinez (40'), Gil (48'), Gazzaniga (90+1'), Stuani (90+1')
Martinez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ajax 3-2 PSV
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Girona 4-3 Leganes
Saturday, November 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Girona
66.07% ( -1.5)	18.76% ( 0.87)	15.17% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.13% (

-2.84)

36.87% (

2.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.95% (

-3.15)

59.04% (

3.14)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.6% (

-1.14)

10.39% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.08% (

-2.63)

33.92% (

2.63)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85% (

-1)

37.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06% (

-1)

73.93% (

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 66.07%

Girona 15.17%

Draw 18.76%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Girona
2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.78) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.27) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.07%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.76%	1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.17%