/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgirlog.png)
-
Ryan Flamingo
16'
-
Malik Tillman
33'
-
Luuk de Jong
40'
-
Rick Karsdorp
58'
-
Matteo Dams
60'
-
Johan Bakayoko
83'
-
Ladislav Krejci
88'
-
Johan Bakayoko
90'+1'
-
Arnau Martinez
40'
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Bryan Gil
48'
-
Arnau Martinez
55'
-
Paulo Gazzaniga
90'+1'
-
Cristhian Stuani
90'+1'
PSV Eindhoven vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fjerdy-schouten_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
66.07%
▼
(-1.51)
Draw
18.76%
▲
(+0.87)
Girona
15.17%
▲
(+0.64)
Both Teams to Score:
56.32%
▼
(-1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.13%
▼
(-2.85)
Under 2.5
36.87%
▲
(+2.84)
Over 3.5
40.95%
▼
(-3.15)
Under 3.5
59.04%
▲
(+3.15)
Over 4.5
22.91%
▼
(-2.62)
Under 4.5
77.09%
▲
(+2.62)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
89.6%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 0.5
10.39%
▲
(+1.14)
Over 1.5
66.08%
▼
(-2.64)
Under 1.5
33.92%
▲
(+2.64)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
62.85%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
37.15%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
26.06%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 1.5
73.93%
▲
(+1.01)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
66.07%
Draw
18.76%
Girona
15.17%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0
@
9.9%
▲
(+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.78)
3-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.26)
4-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.23)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.25)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.22)
5-1 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 66.07%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.78)
3-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.26)
4-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.23)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.25)
5-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.22)
5-1 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 66.07%
Draw
1-1
@
8.66%
▲
(+0.56)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.52)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.76%
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.52)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.76%
Girona
1-2
@
4.29%
▲
(+0.17)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.17%
0-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.17%