Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.