Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.