Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 50.93% ( | 26.62% ( | 22.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.19% ( | 58.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( | 79.32% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( | 23.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( | 41.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( | 78.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% ( 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-2 @ 3.93% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.14% Total : 22.45% |