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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 16.31% ( | 18.55% ( | 65.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.62% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( | 33.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( | 70.18% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( | 9.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.79% ( | 32.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.52% ( 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 2-0 @ 1.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 3-1 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.31% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-3 @ 7.53% ( 0-3 @ 6.9% ( 1-4 @ 4.4% ( 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-4 @ 4.03% ( 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 1-5 @ 2.06% ( 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 2-5 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.14% |