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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 79.18% ( | 13.5% ( | 7.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( | 34.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( | 56.27% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.13% ( | 6.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.75% ( | 25.25% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.38% ( | 49.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.61% ( | 84.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 3-0 @ 10.91% ( 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.17% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 2-2 @ 3% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( 1-2 @ 2.24% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.31% |