/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fgrolog.png)
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Olivier Boscagli
14'
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Ricardo Pepi
37'
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Guus Til
52'
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Ricardo Pepi
64'
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Ricardo Pepi
78'
PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fricardo-pepi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
79.18%
▲
(+3.26)
Draw
13.5%
▼
(-1.67)
Groningen
7.31%
▼
(-1.60)
Both Teams to Score:
46.92%
▼
(-1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.64%
▲
(+2.37)
Under 2.5
34.36%
▼
(-2.37)
Over 3.5
43.72%
▲
(+2.62)
Under 3.5
56.27%
▼
(-2.62)
Over 4.5
25.21%
▲
(+2.18)
Under 4.5
74.79%
▼
(-2.18)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
93.13%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 0.5
6.86%
▼
(-1.21)
Over 1.5
74.75%
▲
(+3.14)
Under 1.5
25.25%
▼
(-3.14)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5
50.38%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 0.5
49.61%
▲
(+2.12)
Over 1.5
15.61%
▼
(-1.54)
Under 1.5
84.39%
▲
(+1.54)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
79.17%
Draw
13.5%
Groningen
7.31%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.08)
3-0 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.74)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.53)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.48)
3-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.90)
4-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.36)
5-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.69)
5-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.40)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 79.17%
3-0 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.74)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.53)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.48)
3-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.90)
4-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.36)
5-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.69)
5-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.40)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 79.17%
Draw
1-1
@
6.39%
▼
(-0.79)
0-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 13.5%
0-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 13.5%
Groningen
0-1
@
2.39%
▼
(-0.47)
1-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 7.31%
1-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 7.31%
Jordan Teze
48'