Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 1
Lazio

McTominay (46'), Rrahmani (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Isaksen (79')
Dia (19'), Guendouzi (45+1'), Castellanos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Napoli
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Napoli
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
47.04% ( -1.06)	25.71% ( 0.18)	27.25% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.05% (

-0.14)

51.95% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

-0.13)

73.69% (

0.13)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0.53)

22.08% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

-0.81)

55.43% (

0.81)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

0.63)

33.79% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

0.68)

70.45% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Napoli 47.04%

Lazio 27.25%

Draw 25.7%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.04%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.25%