/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Scott McTominay
46'
-
Amir Rrahmani
51'
-
Boulaye Dia
19'
-
Matteo Guendouzi
45'+1'
-
Valentin Castellanos
62'
-
Gustav Isaksen
79'
Napoli vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fkhvicha-kvaratskhelia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result
Napoli
47.04%
▼
(-1.07)
Draw
25.71%
▲
(+0.19)
Lazio
27.25%
▲
(+0.89)
Both Teams to Score:
51.6%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.05%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
51.95%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
26.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
73.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
12.2%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
87.8%
▲
(+0.09)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
77.92%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
22.08%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
44.57%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
55.43%
▲
(+0.81)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
66.21%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
33.79%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 1.5
29.55%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 1.5
70.45%
▼
(-0.69)
Score analysis
Napoli
47.04%
Draw
25.7%
Lazio
27.25%
Napoli
1-0
@
11.26%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.04%
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.04%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.7%
0-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.7%
Lazio
0-1
@
8.09%
▲
(+0.19)
1-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.25%
1-2 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.25%