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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 1
Napoli


Walukiewicz (39'), Holmgren Pedersen (41'), Coco (56'), Ricci (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Roma
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
27.32% (0.296 0.3)27.56% (0.065000000000001 0.07)45.11% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)58.83% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)79.34% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (0.203 0.2)37.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.201 0.2)74.21% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)26.01% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.297 -0.3)61.03% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Torino 27.32%
    Napoli 45.11%
    Draw 27.56%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
17.7%
Draw
11.4%
Napoli
70.9%
79
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Kvaratskhelia (61')
Osimhen (36'), Jesus (39')
Sanabria (64')
Zapata (31'), Buongiorno (45+3')
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 19
Torino
3-0
Napoli
Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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