Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 27.32% ( | 27.56% ( | 45.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.66% ( | 79.34% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( | 74.21% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( | 26.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.26% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.11% |