Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 0
Lazio

Pellegrini (10'), Saelemaekers (18')
Saelemaekers (37'), Dybala (71'), Paredes (78'), N'Dicka (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gila (32'), Zaccagni (34'), Castellanos (41'), Rovella (54'), Dia (72')
Castellanos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Roma
Sunday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lazio
47.51% ( -0.03)	25.62% ( -0.01)	26.87% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

0.05)

51.85% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

0.04)

73.6% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.01)

21.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

0.01)

55.05% (

-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.97% (

0.05)

34.03% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

0.06)

70.71% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Roma 47.5%

Lazio 26.87%

Draw 25.62%

Roma	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.87%