/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsamlog.png)
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Artem Dovbyk
9'
-
Artem Dovbyk
19'
-
Niccolo Pisilli
23'
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Tommaso Baldanzi
24'
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Eldor Shomurodov
79'
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Stipe Vulikic
51'
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Gerard Yepes
61'
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Fabio Borini
67'
Roma vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Fclaudio-ranieri.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
58.03%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
22.21%
▲
(+0.10)
Sampdoria
19.76%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
53.89%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
44.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
32.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
67.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
16.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
83.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
84.9%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
15.1%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
56.36%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
43.64%
▲
(+0.25)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5
63.47%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
36.53%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
26.69%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
73.31%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Roma
58.02%
Draw
22.21%
Sampdoria
19.76%
Roma
1-0
@
10.42%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.02%
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.02%
Draw
1-1
@
10.5%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.21%
0-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.21%
Sampdoria
0-1
@
5.55%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 19.76%
1-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 19.76%