Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
58.03% ( -0.39)	22.21% ( 0.1)	19.76% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

-0.01)

44.65% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.01)

67.01% (

0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9% (

-0.13)

15.1% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36% (

-0.24)

43.64% (

0.24)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

0.3)

36.53% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

0.3)

73.31% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Roma 58.02%

Sampdoria 19.76%

Draw 22.21%

Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.02%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.76%