Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 27' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 69' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 34'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 69'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 88'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 90'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 90'+4'

Lazio vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 7.45pm
Lecce 1 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 5.00pm
Atalanta 3 - 2 Empoli
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Lazio 26.25% (+0.49)
Draw 24.3% (+0.17)
Atalanta BC 49.46% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.23% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 46.77% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 30.97% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 69.03% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 15.35% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 84.65% (+0.24)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 31.83% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 31.73% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 68.27% (-0.23)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 81.04% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 18.96% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 49.51% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 50.49% (+0.67)

Score analysis

Lazio 26.25%
Draw 24.29%
Atalanta BC 49.45%
Lazio
1-0 @ 6.91% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 6.58% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 3.96% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.04% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.29%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 49.45%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mario Pasalic 9' yellowcard
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 16' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 43' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 76' goal
  • Ederson 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 45'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 47'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 84'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Charles De Ketelaere 5' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 11' goal
  • Matias Vecino 83' goal
  • Matias Vecino 84' yellowcard
  • Maurizio Sarri 86' redcard
  • goal Ederson 33'
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 63'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 79'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • goal Davide Zappacosta 23'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 65'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 10'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 52'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Pezzella 33'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 39'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 84'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2021 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Duvan Zapata 45'+1' goal
  • Merih Demiral 78' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+4' goal
  • goal Pedro 18'
  • yellowcard Luiz Felipe 34'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 74'
  • yellowcard Pepe Reina 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Leiva 90'+3'