Champions League
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Charles De Ketelaere
45'+2'
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Ademola Lookman
65'
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Kossonou Odilon
90'+2'
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Kylian Mbappe
10'
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Aurelien Tchouameni
45'+2'
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Vinicius Junior
56'
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Jude Bellingham
59'
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Lucas Vazquez
90'+3'
Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F44%2Fvinicius-junior_1.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result
Atalanta BC
42.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.33%
Real Madrid
32.33%
Both Teams to Score:
55.68%
Goals
Over 2.5
52.05%
Under 2.5
47.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
29.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
70.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
14.59%
Under 4.5
85.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
77.44%
Under 0.5
22.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
43.85%
Under 1.5
56.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
71.9%
Under 0.5
28.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
36.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
63.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
42.34%
Draw
25.32%
Real Madrid
32.33%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
9.44%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.34%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.98%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
Real Madrid
0-1
@
8.05%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.33%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.33%
Head to Head
UEFA Super Cup
-
Jude Bellingham
35'
-
Vinicius Junior
42'
-
Federico Valverde
59'
-
Kylian Mbappe
68'
-
Ederson
9'
-
Berat Djimsiti
64'
Champions League
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Karim Benzema
34'
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Federico Valverde
39'
-
Sergio Ramos
60'
-
Nacho
73'
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Toni Kroos
77'
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Marco Asensio
84'
-
Rafael Toloi
59'
-
Luis Muriel
83'
Champions League
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Remo Freuler
17'
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Robin Gosens
71'
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Casemiro
23'
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Ferland Mendy
55'
-
Ferland Mendy
86'
Form Data
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F42%2Fmateo-retegui.jpg)
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Fkylian-mbappe_2.jpg)