La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 9, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Osasuna

Junior (34', 61', 69'), Bellingham (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Catena (55'), Torro (88')

Reaction

Real Madrid defender Eder Militao is stretchered off on November 9, 2024

Real Madrid left fearing the worst as key man suffers serious-looking injury vs. Osasuna

Real Madrid's 4-0 win over Osasuna in La Liga on Saturday afternoon comes at a serious cost, with Rodrygo, Eder Militao and Lucas Vazquez all being forced off with injuries.

Nov 9, 15:19

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Chiclana 0-5 Osasuna
Tuesday, November 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
69% ( 0.02)	17.63% ( -0)	13.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.52% (

-0.02)

35.48% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.48% (

-0.02)

57.53% (

0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.69%

9.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.58% (

-0.01)

31.42% (

0.01)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3% (

-0.03)

38.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56% (

-0.03)

75.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 68.99%

Osasuna 13.38%

Draw 17.63%

Real Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 68.99%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.63%	1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.38%