Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.