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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Valladolid logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Valladolid

Budimir (19' pen.)
Moncayola (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anuar (16'), Perez (18'), Perez (69'), Martin Rielves (71'), Pezzolano (77'), Sanchez (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Astur 1-4 Valladolid
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
39.38% (-0.067 -0.07)25.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.41% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.86% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)46.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (0.077000000000002 0.08)69.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.55%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.089999999999989 0.09)25.66% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.119 0.12)60.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 39.38%
    Real Valladolid 35.41%
    Draw 25.21%
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Valladolid

Osasuna
78.5%
Draw
17.7%
Real Valladolid
3.8%
79
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 5.30pm
Oct 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Osasuna
2-0
Valladolid
Avila (13' pen.), Gomez (19')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Osasuna
0-0
Valladolid
Barja (24'), Moncayola (85')
Guardiola (21'), Fernandez (34'), Weissman (56')
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Valladolid
3-2
Osasuna
Weissman (7', 76'), Orellana (56' pen.)
Mesa (24'), Alcaraz (45'), Weissman (84'), Perez (90+5')
Budimir (27'), Torres (43')
Hernandez (12'), Moncayola (66'), Vidal (71'), Budimir (80'), Calleri (82')
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Osasuna
0-0
Valladolid
Hernandez (73'), Garcia (78')
Alcaraz (35'), Fede (65')
rhs 2.0


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