Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Hermanos Llana
Real Valladolid logo

Astur
1 - 4
Valladolid

Toral Gomez (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latasa (7', 28'), Perez (59'), Meseguer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Astur and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astur

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 83.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Astur had a probability of 6.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for an Astur win it was 2-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
AsturDrawReal Valladolid
6.28%10.09%83.63%
Both teams to score 58.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.58%19.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.74%37.26%
Astur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12%39.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46%76.54%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.68%3.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.38%14.61%
Score Analysis
    Astur 6.28%
    Real Valladolid 83.63%
    Draw 10.09%
AsturDrawReal Valladolid
2-1 @ 1.9%
1-0 @ 1.22%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 6.28%
1-1 @ 4.14%
2-2 @ 3.24%
0-0 @ 1.32%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 10.09%
0-3 @ 8.71%
1-3 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.67%
0-4 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 7.05%
1-4 @ 6.82%
0-5 @ 5.05%
1-5 @ 4.65%
0-1 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3.68%
2-4 @ 3.14%
0-6 @ 2.87%
1-6 @ 2.64%
2-5 @ 2.14%
0-7 @ 1.4%
1-7 @ 1.28%
2-6 @ 1.21%
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 83.63%

How you voted: Astur vs Valladolid

Astur
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Real Valladolid
66.7%
6
rhs 2.0


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