Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 47.66% ( | 29.14% ( | 23.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.91% ( | 66.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.35% ( | 84.64% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( | 63.81% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.62% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.77% ( | 81.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 16.18% ( 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 12.76% ( 2-2 @ 3.21% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.18% |