Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
| 38.85% ( | 29.79% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.25% ( | 83.74% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( | 32.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( | 68.94% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( | 37.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( | 74.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-2 @ 3.71% ( Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.35% |