La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 26, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
1 - 2
Villarreal

Sylla (60' pen.)
Pezzolano (46'), Sylla (50'), Sanchez (56'), Comert (61'), Torres (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barry (29'), Perez (84')
Parejo (45+1'), Comesana (49'), Costa (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 2-3 Valladolid
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Getafe
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Villarreal
46.84% ( 3.19)	25.72% ( -0.96)	27.43% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

2.62)

51.89% (

-2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

2.23)

73.64% (

-2.22)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

2.65)

22.14% (

-2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.48% (

3.85)

55.52% (

-3.84)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

-0.33)

33.6% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.36)

70.25% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 46.84%

Villarreal 27.43%

Draw 25.72%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.84%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.43%