Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.