Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Getafe |
| 72.14% ( | 16.89% ( | 10.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( | 38.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( | 9.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.49% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.43% ( | 44.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.41% ( | 80.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Getafe |
| 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 6-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.96% Total : 72.13% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.89% | 0-1 @ 3.37% ( 1-2 @ 3.23% ( 0-2 @ 1.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.98% |