Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 26.62% ( | 24.38% ( | 49% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( | 46.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( | 69.09% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( | 31.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( | 67.97% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( | 19.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( | 50.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 2-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.01% |