We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 AC Milan
All the pressure is on Milan, as defeat would leave them with an enormous mountain to climb in order to get back into the Scudetto race.
The Rossoneri have shown signs of improvement, though, and they may now be able to stop Atalanta from reaching top spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
0.72) 
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