Champions League
Nov 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Darwin Nunez 13' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gravenberch 17' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 40' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 52' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 76' goal
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 13'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 70'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 80'
  • yellowcard Endrick 89'

Liverpool vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
Liverpool 4 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 3 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 47.14% (+0.32)
Draw 24.58% (-0.11)
Real Madrid 28.29% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.98% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.44% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 46.56% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 31.17% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 68.83% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 15.49% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 84.51% (-0.24)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 80.17% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 19.83% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 48.08% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 51.92% (-0.45)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.83% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.17% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.68% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.32% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Liverpool 47.14%
Draw 24.58%
Real Madrid 28.29%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 28.29%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 78' goal
Champions League
Feb 21, 2023 8.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Darwin Nunez 4' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 14' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 21'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 36'
  • goal Eder Militao 47'
  • goal Karim Benzema 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 67'
Champions League
May 28, 2022 8.36pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Auguste Delaune
  • Fabinho 62' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 59'
Champions League
Apr 14, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Andrew Robertson 25' yellowcard
  • Nat Phillips 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Casemiro 25'
Champions League
Apr 6, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Vinicius Junior 27' goal
  • Marco Asensio 36' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 49' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 39'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 51'
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 56'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 83'
Champions League
May 26, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olimpiyskiy National Sports Complex
  • Karim Benzema 51' goal
  • Gareth Bale 64' goal
  • Gareth Bale 83' goal
  • goal Sadio Mane 55'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 82'

Build-up

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