/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
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Nicolo Zaniolo
22'
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Charles De Ketelaere
34'
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Ademola Lookman
45'+1'
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Charles De Ketelaere
86'
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Lorenzo Colombo
13'
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Sebastiano Esposito
58'
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Roberto D'Aversa
59'
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Giuseppe Pezzella
64'
Atalanta BC vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fcharles-de-ketelaere.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
72.94%
▲
(+4.48)
Draw
16.67%
▼
(-2.05)
Empoli
10.39%
▼
(-2.44)
Both Teams to Score:
48.81%
▼
(-1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.8%
▲
(+2.92)
Under 2.5
39.19%
▼
(-2.92)
Over 3.5
38.47%
▲
(+2.99)
Under 3.5
61.52%
▼
(-2.99)
Over 4.5
20.92%
▲
(+2.30)
Under 4.5
79.07%
▼
(-2.30)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
90.65%
▲
(+1.91)
Under 0.5
9.35%
▼
(-1.91)
Over 1.5
68.49%
▲
(+4.33)
Under 1.5
31.51%
▼
(-4.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
53.84%
▼
(-2.32)
Under 0.5
46.16%
▲
(+2.32)
Over 1.5
18.15%
▼
(-1.85)
Under 1.5
81.84%
▲
(+1.85)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
72.92%
Draw
16.67%
Empoli
10.39%
Atalanta BC
2-0
@
12.11%
▲
(+0.34)
1-0 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.55)
3-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+1.00)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.34)
4-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.99)
4-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.53)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.65)
5-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.40)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.11)
6-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-73.44)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 72.92%
1-0 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.55)
3-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+1.00)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.34)
4-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.99)
4-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.53)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.65)
5-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.40)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.11)
6-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-73.44)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 72.92%
Draw
1-1
@
7.91%
▼
(-0.98)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.62)
2-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.67%
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.62)
2-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.67%
Empoli
0-1
@
3.34%
▼
(-0.74)
1-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.61)
0-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.39)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 10.39%
1-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.61)
0-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.39)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 10.39%