Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Cesena
58.65% ( -0.3)	22.38% ( 0.1)	18.97% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

-0.13)

46.52% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

-0.12)

68.8% (

0.12)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.14)

15.53% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.54% (

-0.27)

44.45% (

0.26)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

0.14)

38.46% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

0.13)

75.21% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 58.64%

Cesena 18.97%

Draw 22.37%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.64%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.97%