Coppa Italia
Atalanta
Dec 18, 2024 5.30pm
6
1
HT : 4 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Cesena
  • Davide Zappacosta 4' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 8' goal
  • Lazar Samardzic 27' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 28' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 35' goal
  • Rafael Toloi 45' yellowcard
  • Marco Brescianini 54' goal
  • Lazar Samardzic 71' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 53'
  • goal Joseph Ceesay 90'

Atalanta BC vs Cesena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Cesena

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 58.65% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 22.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Cesena 18.97% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 46.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 31.2% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.8% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 15.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.49% ▲ (+0.09)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 84.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 55.54% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 44.45% ▲ (+0.27)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5 61.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 38.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 24.78% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 75.21% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 58.64%
Draw 22.37%
Cesena 18.97%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.37%
Cesena
0-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head

Serie A
Cesena
Apr 29, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Gaby Mudingayi 36' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carbonero 45' yellowcard
  • Franco Brienza 56' goal
  • Gabriel Perico 64' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carbonero 70' goal
  • goal Mauricio Pinilla 50'
  • yellowcard Yohan Benalouane 55'
  • goal Mauricio Pinilla 82'
  • yellowcard Giulio Migliaccio 86'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 88'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pinilla 95'
Serie A
Atalanta
Dec 7, 2014 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Cesena
  • Carlos Carmona 13' yellowcard
  • Yohan Benalouane 45' goal
  • Guglielmo Stendardo 50' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 52' goal
  • Yohan Benalouane 83' yellowcard
  • Marco Sportiello 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gregoire Defrel 31'
  • yellowcard Gregoire Defrel 33'
  • goal Gregoire Defrel 43'
  • yellowcard Stefano Lucchini 49'
  • yellowcard Luigi Giorgi 62'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe De Feudis 74'
  • yellowcard Francesco Renzetti 90'

Form Data

Cagliari 0 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Atalanta 2 - 1 AC Milan
Roma 0 - 2 Atalanta
Young Boys 1 - 6 Atalanta
Parma 1 - 3 Atalanta
Cesena 2 - 1 Cosenza
Bari 1 - 0 Cesena
Frosinone 3 - 2 Cesena
Cesena 1 - 1 Reggiana
Cittadella 0 - 2 Cesena
Cesena 1 - 0 Sudtirol