Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
1 - 0
Cesena

Dorval (33')
Mantovani (67'), Benali (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (49'), Adamo (53'), Kargbo (67'), Calo (72')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Bari
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie B

Cesena

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 3-2 Cesena
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
BariDrawCesena
41.56% (-0.185 -0.19)28.23% (0.067999999999998 0.07)30.2% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (-0.203 -0.2)59.99% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (-0.154 -0.15)80.23% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.2 -0.2)28.43% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.252 -0.25)64.19% (0.251 0.25)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)35.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)72.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bari 41.56%
    Cesena 30.2%
    Draw 28.22%
BariDrawCesena
1-0 @ 12.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2018 7.30pm
Cesena
1-1
Bari
Laribi (13')
Kupisz (32')
Suagher (50' og.)
Marrone (19'), Kozak (69'), Tello (76')
Aug 28, 2017 7.30pm
Bari
3-0
Cesena
Improta (38'), Galano (59'), Tonucci (68')
Capradossi (39')

Cascione (55'), Panico (85')