Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Cesena
30.69% ( 0.01)	28.12% ( 0.23)	41.18% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54% (

-0.8)

59.46% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17% (

-0.62)

79.83% (

0.61)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.42)

35.13% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

-0.44)

71.88% (

0.44)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.51)

28.39% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

-0.65)

64.13% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 30.69%

Cesena 41.18%

Draw 28.12%

Frosinone	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.69%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.18%