Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.