Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Catanzaro
41.79% ( 0.55)	24.64% ( -0.03)	33.56% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

0.02)

44.52% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

0.02)

66.89% (

-0.02)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

0.27)

21.35% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68% (

0.41)

54.32% (

-0.41)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0.29)

25.68% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

-0.39)

60.59% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 41.79%

Catanzaro 33.56%

Draw 24.64%

Salernitana	Draw	Catanzaro
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.79%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.56%