Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Cremonese
31.22% ( 0.72)	26.09% ( -0.13)	42.69% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.44% (

0.79)

51.56% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.64% (

0.68)

73.35% (

-0.68)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

0.9)

30.64% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

1.05)

66.89% (

-1.05)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

0.05)

23.97% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

0.08)

58.2% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 31.22%

Cremonese 42.69%

Draw 26.08%

Catanzaro	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.22%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.69%