Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Cesena
37.62% ( 0.47)	27.05% ( -0.01)	35.32% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

0.01)

54.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05% (

0.01)

75.95% (

-0.01)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.28)

28.09% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

0.36)

63.76% (

-0.36)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-0.28)

29.48% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-0.34)

65.49% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Pisa 37.62%

Cesena 35.32%

Draw 27.05%

Pisa	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.32%