Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
2 - 2
Modena

Bastoni (39'), Shpendi (45+1' pen.)
Shpendi (25')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mendes (28'), Zaro (55')
Cotali (32'), Palumbo (49')
Caldara (65')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cesena and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Cesena
Sunday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-1 Cittadella
Saturday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
CesenaDrawModena
52.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)21.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0010000000000048 0)55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)78.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cesena 52.64%
    Modena 21.46%
    Draw 25.89%
CesenaDrawModena
1-0 @ 13.92%
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.68%
4-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.46%