Serie B | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
0 - 1
Cittadella


Bisoli (27'), Santoro (45+2'), Gerli (49'), Zaro (86'), Pergreffi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ravasio (12')
Tessiore (26'), Angeli (27'), Pavan (44'), Maniero (77'), Branca (81'), Amatucci (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Cittadella.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Modena
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 1-1 Pisa
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 29.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawCittadella
39.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.35%29.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.89%85.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.86% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)69.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (0.022000000000006 0.02)39.85% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (0.023 0.02)76.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Modena 39.83%
    Cittadella 29.81%
    Draw 30.34%
ModenaDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.83%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 13.09%
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.34%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cittadella
1-1
Modena
Amatucci (13')
Branca (7'), Rizza (35')
Magnino (42')
Santoro (45+2'), Cauz (84')
Dec 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 17
Modena
1-1
Cittadella
Duca (3')
Falcinelli (46'), Zaro (90+4')
Cassano (29')
Cassano (17'), Salvi (18'), Mastrantonio (36'), Branca (79')
Apr 2, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 5, 2022 1pm