Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Cesena
44.55% ( -0.96)	26.15% ( 0.21)	29.3% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-0.48)

52.59% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-0.41)

74.25% (

0.41)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.66)

23.51% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.97)

57.55% (

0.96)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

0.31)

32.55% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

0.35)

69.08% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Pisa 44.54%

Cesena 29.3%

Draw 26.15%

Pisa	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.54%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.3%