Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.