Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
3 - 2
Cittadella

Lasagna (5'), Sibilli (45' pen.), Maiello (45+2')
Dorval (43'), Favasuli (85'), Radunovic (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Carissoni (52'), Pandolfi (55')
Pandolfi (46'), Branca (82'), Angeli (83'), Carissoni (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Cittadella.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Bari
Sunday, November 10 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 0-2 Cesena
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawCittadella
48.81% (-1.351 -1.35)28.17% (0.419 0.42)23.02% (0.934 0.93)
Both teams to score 41.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.64% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)63.36% (0.605 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.27% (-0.435 -0.43)82.73% (0.43799999999999 0.44)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.926 -0.93)26.26% (0.927 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (-1.255 -1.26)61.37% (1.256 1.26)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (0.598 0.6)43.94% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (0.489 0.49)80.07% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Bari 48.8%
    Cittadella 23.02%
    Draw 28.15%
BariDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 15.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 11.53% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.363 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head
May 5, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 37
Cittadella
1-1
Bari
Pittarello (6')
Giraudo (60')
Nasti (16')
Ricci (84')
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bari
1-1
Cittadella
Nasti (6')
Di Cesare (83')
Pavan (89')
Maistrello (50')
May 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Bari
1-1
Cittadella
Benedetti (51')
Maistrello (84')
Dec 8, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Cittadella
0-3
Bari
Scheidler (13'), Folorunsho (32'), Maita (69')
Jun 3, 2018 5.30pm
Preliminary Round
Cittadella
2-2
Bari
Bartolomei (59', 69')
Settembrini (44'), Schenetti (77'), Bartolomei (82')
Galano (51'), Brienza (88')
Tello (50'), Sabelli (57'), Gyomber (66'), Nene (90')
Gyomber (115'), Brienza (117'), Sabelli (117')