Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
5 - 0
Parma

Dybala (8' pen., 51'), Saelemaekers (13'), Paredes (74' pen.), Dovbyk (83')
Angelino (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bonny (24'), Almqvist (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 4-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Parma
65.95% ( 0.05)	19.42% ( -0)	14.62% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.46% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

-0.08)

41.21% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

-0.08)

63.6% (

0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

-0.01)

11.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

-0.02)

36.72% (

0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.38% (

-0.11)

40.61% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

-0.1)

77.21% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Roma 65.94%

Parma 14.62%

Draw 19.43%

Roma	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 65.94%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.43%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.62%