/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fparlog.png)
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Paulo Dybala
8'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
13'
-
Paulo Dybala
51'
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Angelino
64'
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Leandro Paredes
74'
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Artem Dovbyk
83'
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Ange-Yoan Bonny
24'
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Pontus Almqvist
50'
Roma vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
65.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
19.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Parma
14.62%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
52.46%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
41.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
36.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
63.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
19.32%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
80.68%
▲
(+0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
88.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
11.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
63.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
36.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
59.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
40.61%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
22.79%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
77.21%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Roma
65.94%
Draw
19.43%
Parma
14.62%
Roma
2-0
@
10.93%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 65.94%
1-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 65.94%
Draw
1-1
@
9.17%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 19.43%
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 19.43%
Parma
0-1
@
4.27%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 14.62%
1-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 14.62%